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NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Ottawa Senators — Los Angeles Kings

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Model prediction for 22 November

Ottawa Senators44%
Draw in regulation24%
Los Angeles Kings33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ottawa Senators are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Ottawa Senators — No. 12, 19 pts; Los Angeles Kings — No. 30, 10 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ottawa Senators 1 win, Los Angeles Kings 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Los Angeles Kings2.8–2.5
Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Ottawa Senators
  • Ottawa Senators goals
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Form

Ottawa Senators

  • 02.11away · Anaheim Ducks3:6
  • 31.10away · San Jose Sharks5:1
  • 30.10away · Los Angeles Kings5:6 OT
  • 28.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
  • 25.10New York Rangers7:4

Los Angeles Kings

  • 31.10Buffalo Sabres2:3
  • 30.10Ottawa Senators6:5 OT
  • 28.10away · Chicago Blackhawks1:2
  • 27.10away · New York Rangers6:3
  • 24.10away · New Jersey Devils1:3

Head to head

  • 30.10.2026Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators6:5 OT
  • 25.11.2025Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators2:1
  • 16.11.2025Ottawa Senators — Los Angeles Kings0:1
  • 01.12.2024Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators5:2
  • 14.10.2024Ottawa Senators — Los Angeles Kings8:7 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceDallas Stars1591544–36+819
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceOttawa Senators1691652–51+119
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs1782762–56+618
29Philadelphia Flyers1744937–58-2112
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →