NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Toronto Maple Leafs — Columbus Blue Jackets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Toronto Maple Leafs 50%, Columbus Blue Jackets 50% including overtime.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Maple Leafs — No. 13, 18 pts; Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 28, 12 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Maple Leafs 3 wins, Columbus Blue Jackets 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs — Columbus Blue Jackets | 2.9–2.8 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toronto Maple Leafs
- Toronto Maple Leafs goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11Utah Mammoth2:3
- 01.11away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 29.10away · Seattle Kraken4:5
- 27.10away · Calgary Flames2:5
- 25.10away · Edmonton Oilers7:2
- 04.11Colorado Avalanche7:2
- 01.11away · Dallas Stars1:3
- 30.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:3
- 28.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:3 OT
- 25.10Vegas Golden Knights2:1 OT
Head to head
- 21.10.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Toronto Maple Leafs2:6
- 27.11.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Toronto Maple Leafs1:2 OT
- 21.11.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 OT
- 30.10.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Toronto Maple Leafs6:3
- 06.04.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Columbus Blue Jackets5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 15 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 28 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 13 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | 17 | 4 | -21 | 12 |
NHL on the same day
- Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Nashville PredatorsPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Boston BruinsWashington Capitalspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Detroit Red WingsNew York Islanderspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Montreal CanadiensPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Ottawa SenatorsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesNew Jersey Devilspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.5
- Winnipeg JetsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →