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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Brynas — Skelleftea

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Model prediction for 12 November

Brynas32%
Draw in regulation22%
Skelleftea46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Skelleftea are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Brynas — No. 11, 15 pts; Skelleftea — No. 2, 31 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
  • Brynas: 5 defeats in a row; Skelleftea: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Brynas 1 win, Skelleftea 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brynas — Skelleftea2.4–2.8
Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brynas
  • Brynas goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brynas

  • 31.10away · Djurgarden2:3
  • 29.10Farjestad4:5
  • 24.10Rogle4:5 OT
  • 22.10away · Orebro2:3
  • 17.10Vaxjo2:3

Skelleftea

  • 31.10IF Bjorkloven5:3
  • 29.10Linkoping3:1
  • 24.10away · IF Bjorkloven8:1
  • 22.10Djurgarden4:1
  • 17.10away · Frolunda2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 19.09.2026Skelleftea — Brynas7:2
  • 31.01.2026Brynas — Skelleftea3:4 OT
  • 30.12.2025Skelleftea — Brynas3:1
  • 30.10.2025Skelleftea — Brynas2:5
  • 09.10.2025Brynas — Skelleftea0:1

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad141211058–17+4139
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea14912252–31+2131
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda16920555–39+1631
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717
11Brynas14411840–39+115
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • FarjestadDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • FrolundaMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • HV 71Luleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.7
  • IF BjorklovenOrebropreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • LinkopingRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • VaxjoTimrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →