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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Linkoping — Rogle

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 12 November

Linkoping28%
Draw in regulation22%
Rogle50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rogle are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Rogle are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Linkoping — No. 13, 12 pts; Rogle — No. 5, 23 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Linkoping: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Linkoping 2 wins, Rogle 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Linkoping — Rogle2.1–2.8
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Linkoping
  • Linkoping goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Linkoping

  • 31.10away · Frolunda1:4
  • 29.10away · Skelleftea1:3
  • 27.10away · Malmo2:8
  • 24.10Orebro6:4
  • 20.10away · HV 713:2 SO

Rogle

  • 31.10away · Orebro2:3 OT
  • 29.10Malmo0:3
  • 27.10away · Frolunda5:4
  • 24.10away · Brynas5:4 OT
  • 22.10Frolunda4:1

Head to head

  • 26.09.2026Rogle — Linkoping2:1 OT
  • 21.02.2026Linkoping — Rogle3:4 SO
  • 15.01.2026Linkoping — Rogle0:4
  • 06.12.2025Rogle — Linkoping1:3
  • 25.09.2025Rogle — Linkoping0:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMalmo14623345–33+1225
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle15621639–36+323
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415
13, Relegation play-offLinkoping14311927–51-2412
14, Relegation play-offHV 7114124733–51-1811

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • FarjestadDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • FrolundaMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • HV 71Luleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.7
  • IF BjorklovenOrebropreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • VaxjoTimrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →