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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Farjestad — Djurgarden

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Model prediction for 12 November

Farjestad68%
Draw in regulation17%
Djurgarden15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Farjestad are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Farjestad are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • League table: Farjestad — No. 1, 39 pts; Djurgarden — No. 8, 20 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
  • Farjestad: 5 wins in a row; Djurgarden: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Farjestad 2 wins, Djurgarden 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Farjestad — Djurgarden3.5–1.8
Farjestad to win (incl. OT and shootout)80%
Djurgarden to win (incl. OT and shootout)20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Farjestad
  • Farjestad goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Farjestad

  • 31.10away · Vaxjo5:1
  • 29.10away · Brynas5:4
  • 24.10Vaxjo4:1
  • 22.10away · Timra4:0
  • 17.10away · Linkoping4:2

Djurgarden

  • 31.10Brynas3:2
  • 29.10HV 713:0
  • 24.10away · Lulea3:2 OT
  • 22.10away · Skelleftea1:4
  • 20.10away · Frolunda2:6

Head to head

  • 01.10.2026Djurgarden — Farjestad0:4
  • 05.02.2026Djurgarden — Farjestad2:1 SO
  • 10.01.2026Farjestad — Djurgarden1:3
  • 25.11.2025Djurgarden — Farjestad1:0
  • 22.11.2025Farjestad — Djurgarden5:3

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad141211058–17+4139
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea14912252–31+2131
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea14513536–37-120
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDjurgarden15432633–41-820
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • FrolundaMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • HV 71Luleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.7
  • IF BjorklovenOrebropreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • LinkopingRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • VaxjoTimrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →