IF Bjorkloven — Orebro
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Orebro are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: IF Bjorkloven — No. 10, 17 pts; Orebro — No. 6, 22 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- IF Bjorkloven: 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: IF Bjorkloven — Orebro | 2.4–2.6 | |
| IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap IF Bjorkloven
- IF Bjorkloven goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 31.10away · Skelleftea3:5
- 29.10away · Lulea0:4
- 24.10Skelleftea1:8
- 22.10Malmo2:4
- 17.10away · Timra0:3
Head to head
- 24.09.2026Orebro — IF Bjorkloven3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Rogle | 15 | 6 | +3 | 23 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Orebro | 14 | 6 | -8 | 22 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lulea | 14 | 5 | -1 | 20 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Timra | 14 | 4 | -4 | 19 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 14 | 5 | -17 | 17 |
| 11 | Brynas | 14 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
SHL on the same day
- BrynasSkellefteapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- FarjestadDjurgardenpreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
- FrolundaMalmopreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- HV 71Luleapreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.7
- LinkopingRoglepreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- VaxjoTimrapreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →