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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

IF Bjorkloven — Orebro

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Model prediction for 12 November

IF Bjorkloven35%
Draw in regulation22%
Orebro43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Orebro are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: IF Bjorkloven — No. 10, 17 pts; Orebro — No. 6, 22 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • IF Bjorkloven: 5 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: IF Bjorkloven — Orebro2.4–2.6
IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap IF Bjorkloven
  • IF Bjorkloven goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

IF Bjorkloven

  • 31.10away · Skelleftea3:5
  • 29.10away · Lulea0:4
  • 24.10Skelleftea1:8
  • 22.10Malmo2:4
  • 17.10away · Timra0:3

Orebro

  • 31.10Rogle3:2 OT
  • 29.10Frolunda3:2
  • 24.10away · Linkoping4:6
  • 22.10Brynas3:2
  • 17.10away · Rogle2:1

Head to head

  • 24.09.2026Orebro — IF Bjorkloven3:4 OT

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle15621639–36+323
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea14513536–37-120
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717
11Brynas14411840–39+115

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • FrolundaMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • HV 71Luleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.7
  • LinkopingRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • VaxjoTimrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →