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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Vaxjo — Timra

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 12 November

Vaxjo38%
Draw in regulation23%
Timra39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Vaxjo 49%, Timra 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Vaxjo — No. 12, 15 pts; Timra — No. 9, 19 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Vaxjo: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vaxjo 3 wins, Timra 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vaxjo — Timra2.2–2.3
Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Timra to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vaxjo
  • Vaxjo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vaxjo

  • 31.10Farjestad1:5
  • 29.10away · Timra0:3
  • 24.10away · Farjestad1:4
  • 22.10Lulea2:1
  • 17.10away · Brynas3:2

Timra

  • 31.10Lulea2:3 SO
  • 29.10Vaxjo3:0
  • 24.10away · Malmo2:1
  • 22.10Farjestad0:4
  • 17.10IF Bjorkloven3:0

Head to head

  • 29.10.2026Timra — Vaxjo3:0
  • 14.03.2026Timra — Vaxjo1:3
  • 20.12.2025Vaxjo — Timra5:2
  • 27.11.2025Vaxjo — Timra4:2
  • 18.09.2025Timra — Vaxjo2:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDjurgarden15432633–41-820
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717
11Brynas14411840–39+115
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415
13, Relegation play-offLinkoping14311927–51-2412

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • FarjestadDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • FrolundaMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • HV 71Luleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.7
  • IF BjorklovenOrebropreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • LinkopingRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →