NHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Columbus Blue Jackets — Colorado Avalanche

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Model prediction for 4 November

Columbus Blue Jackets34%
Draw in regulation22%
Colorado Avalanche44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Colorado Avalanche are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.

Why

  • Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.9.

Facts

  • League table: Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 29, 4 pts; Colorado Avalanche — No. 13, 9 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Columbus Blue Jackets 2 wins, Colorado Avalanche 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Colorado Avalanche2.9–3.2
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)64%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)36%

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Form

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 14.10Florida Panthers3:7
  • 11.10away · St. Louis Blues3:5
  • 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
  • 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3

Colorado Avalanche

  • 15.10Dallas Stars2:3 SO
  • 14.10away · Dallas Stars3:2
  • 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
  • 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
  • 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3

Head to head

  • 11.01.2026Colorado Avalanche — Columbus Blue Jackets4:0
  • 17.10.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Colorado Avalanche1:4
  • 04.04.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Colorado Avalanche3:7
  • 13.10.2024Colorado Avalanche — Columbus Blue Jackets4:6
  • 02.04.2024Columbus Blue Jackets — Colorado Avalanche4:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets742121–21010
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche741231–22+99
14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceBuffalo Sabres841324–30-69
28Vancouver Canucks921628–41-135
29Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
30Philadelphia Flyers903611–33-223

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →