NHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Toronto Maple Leafs — Utah Mammoth
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Utah Mammoth are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.
Why
- Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Maple Leafs — No. 17, 8 pts; Utah Mammoth — No. 9, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Maple Leafs 3 wins, Utah Mammoth 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs — Utah Mammoth | 2.8–3.2 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 62% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 38% |
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Form
- 16.10Buffalo Sabres4:5 OT
- 14.10away · Utah Mammoth4:5
- 11.10away · Colorado Avalanche6:3
- 09.10away · Vegas Golden Knights3:4 SO
- 07.10Nashville Predators5:4 OT
- 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
- 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
- 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
- 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
- 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
Head to head
- 14.10.2026Utah Mammoth — Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
- 14.01.2026Utah Mammoth — Toronto Maple Leafs6:1
- 06.11.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Utah Mammoth5:3
- 11.03.2025Utah Mammoth — Toronto Maple Leafs3:4 SO
- 25.11.2024Toronto Maple Leafs — Utah Mammoth3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Washington Capitals | 7 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 17 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 | New Jersey Devils | 7 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsColorado Avalanchepreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.1
- Montreal CanadiensWinnipeg Jetspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- New York RangersSt. Louis Bluespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Philadelphia FlyersMinnesota Wildpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Tampa Bay LightningDetroit Red Wingspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Washington CapitalsDallas Starspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- New Jersey DevilsEdmonton Oilerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →