NHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Montreal Canadiens — Winnipeg Jets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Montreal Canadiens are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Montreal Canadiens — No. 24, 7 pts; Winnipeg Jets — No. 12, 10 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 3 wins, Winnipeg Jets 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Winnipeg Jets | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 15.10away · Washington Capitals4:5
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 16.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:4 OT
- 14.10Minnesota Wild5:2
- 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
- 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
- 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens1:5
- 04.12.2025Montreal Canadiens — Winnipeg Jets3:2 SO
- 29.01.2025Montreal Canadiens — Winnipeg Jets1:4
- 15.12.2024Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens4:2
- 19.12.2023Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 8 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 7 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 7 | 4 | +9 | 9 |
| 23 | St. Louis Blues | 7 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 24 | Montreal Canadiens | 7 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 25 | Nashville Predators | 7 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsColorado Avalanchepreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.1
- New York RangersSt. Louis Bluespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Philadelphia FlyersMinnesota Wildpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Tampa Bay LightningDetroit Red Wingspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Toronto Maple LeafsUtah Mammothpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- Washington CapitalsDallas Starspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- New Jersey DevilsEdmonton Oilerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →