NHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

New York Rangers — St. Louis Blues

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Model prediction for 4 November

New York Rangers40%
Draw in regulation24%
St. Louis Blues36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: New York Rangers 52%, St. Louis Blues 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: New York Rangers — No. 3, 12 pts; St. Louis Blues — No. 23, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: New York Rangers 3 wins, St. Louis Blues 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Rangers — St. Louis Blues2.6–2.5
New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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Form

New York Rangers

  • 16.10away · New Jersey Devils1:7
  • 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
  • 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
  • 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
  • 07.10New York Islanders5:2

St. Louis Blues

  • 16.10away · Minnesota Wild4:5
  • 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
  • 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4

Head to head

  • 19.12.2025St. Louis Blues — New York Rangers1:2 OT
  • 25.11.2025New York Rangers — St. Louis Blues3:2
  • 16.12.2024St. Louis Blues — New York Rangers3:2
  • 26.11.2024New York Rangers — St. Louis Blues2:5
  • 10.03.2024New York Rangers — St. Louis Blues4:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers960328–21+712
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators860223–20+312
22Dallas Stars731316–13+37
23St. Louis Blues731325–23+27
24Montreal Canadiens731323–27-47

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →