NHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Philadelphia Flyers — Minnesota Wild

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Model prediction for 4 November

Philadelphia Flyers34%
Draw in regulation24%
Minnesota Wild42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Wild are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Philadelphia Flyers — No. 30, 3 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 8, 11 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 4 wins, Minnesota Wild 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Minnesota Wild2.4–2.6
Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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Form

Philadelphia Flyers

  • 16.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:2
  • 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
  • 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
  • 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
  • 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2

Minnesota Wild

  • 16.10St. Louis Blues5:4
  • 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
  • 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
  • 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
  • 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Minnesota Wild — Philadelphia Flyers2:3 SO
  • 19.10.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Minnesota Wild2:1 OT
  • 14.12.2024Minnesota Wild — Philadelphia Flyers4:1
  • 26.10.2024Philadelphia Flyers — Minnesota Wild7:5
  • 13.01.2024Minnesota Wild — Philadelphia Flyers3:4 OT

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers751131–22+911
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild851226–20+611
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
29Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
30Philadelphia Flyers903611–33-223
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →