NHL · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Pittsburgh Penguins — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- Pittsburgh Penguins are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 20, 7 pts; Vegas Golden Knights — No. 3, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Pittsburgh Penguins 2 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins — Vegas Golden Knights | 3.2–2.9 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Pittsburgh Penguins
- Pittsburgh Penguins goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:5
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins6:2
- 01.03.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Vegas Golden Knights5:0
- 12.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Vegas Golden Knights3:2 OT
- 08.03.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins4:0
- 21.01.2024Vegas Golden Knights — Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 9 | 6 | +7 | 12 |
| 19 | San Jose Sharks | 7 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 21 | New York Islanders | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsColorado Avalanchepreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.1
- Montreal CanadiensWinnipeg Jetspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- New York RangersSt. Louis Bluespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Philadelphia FlyersMinnesota Wildpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.0
- Tampa Bay LightningDetroit Red Wingspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Toronto Maple LeafsUtah Mammothpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Washington CapitalsDallas Starspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- New Jersey DevilsEdmonton Oilerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →