VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Khimik — Rubin Tyumen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Khimik are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Khimik — No. 8, 26 pts; Rubin Tyumen — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Rubin Tyumen: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Khimik 2 wins, Rubin Tyumen 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khimik — Rubin Tyumen | 2.7–1.8 | |
| Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khimik
- Khimik goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:5
- 02.11away · Krasnoyarsk4:2
- 30.10away · HC Norilsk4:5
- 22.10Kaluga2:3 SO
- 20.10AKM2:3 SO
- 03.11Orsk3:4 SO
- 28.10away · Perm2:5
- 26.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 24.10away · Izhevsk5:2
- 22.10away · Olympia0:1 SO
Head to head
- 21.01.2026Khimik — Rubin Tyumen3:0
- 27.10.2025Rubin Tyumen — Khimik3:2 SO
- 16.03.2025Rubin Tyumen — Khimik5:1
- 09.09.2024Khimik — Rubin Tyumen2:3
- 16.02.2024Rubin Tyumen — Khimik0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskBuran Voronezhpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- Magnitka MagnitogorskTambovpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskDizelpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
- BarsMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Dinamo St. PetersburgOmskie Kryliapreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Zvezda MoscowKurganpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CSK VVSKrasnoyarskpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
- AlmetyevskHC Norilskpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →