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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

KooKoo — JYP

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Model prediction for 13 November

KooKoo36%
Draw in regulation21%
JYP43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

JYP are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 3.0.

Facts

  • League table: KooKoo — No. 17, 10 pts; JYP — No. 4, 35 pts. A gap of 25 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: KooKoo 2 wins, JYP 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KooKoo — JYP2.8–3.0
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
JYP to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap KooKoo
  • KooKoo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

KooKoo

  • 31.10IFK Helsinki1:3
  • 30.10away · Lukko1:3
  • 28.10Assat5:3
  • 24.10Jokerit3:6
  • 21.10away · Kiekko-Espoo2:4

JYP

  • 31.10Jokerit5:4 OT
  • 30.10away · SaiPa6:3
  • 28.10Tappara4:6
  • 24.10Assat4:1
  • 22.10Hameenlinna3:2

Head to head

  • 16.09.2026KooKoo — JYP3:5
  • 27.02.2026JYP — KooKoo2:3
  • 09.01.2026KooKoo — JYP6:1
  • 17.12.2025JYP — KooKoo4:2
  • 01.11.2025KooKoo — JYP0:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJukurit20941649–40+936
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJYP171021459–48+1135
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa18931552–38+1434
16, Relegation play-offJokerit183141041–62-2115
17, RelegationKooKoo202121546–81-3510

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • HameenlinnaJukuritpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
  • KalPaKiekko-Espoopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
  • SaiPaIlvespreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • TapparaIFK Helsinkipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • TPS TurkuJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • PelicansAssatpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →