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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Pelicans — Assat

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 13 November

Pelicans44%
Draw in regulation24%
Assat32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pelicans are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.

Why

  • Pelicans are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Pelicans — No. 13, 24 pts; Assat — No. 6, 34 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pelicans 3 wins, Assat 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pelicans — Assat2.2–1.9
Pelicans to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Assat to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)28%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)72%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Pelicans
  • Pelicans goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Pelicans

  • 31.10Kiekko-Espoo0:3
  • 30.10away · TPS Turku1:2
  • 28.10SaiPa5:0
  • 24.10Tappara5:4 SO
  • 20.10away · Hameenlinna3:1

Assat

  • 31.10away · Vaasan Sport2:1
  • 30.10IFK Helsinki3:2
  • 28.10away · KooKoo3:5
  • 24.10away · JYP1:4
  • 21.10away · Tappara0:3

Head to head

  • 06.02.2026Assat — Pelicans6:5
  • 20.12.2025Pelicans — Assat2:1 OT
  • 19.12.2025Assat — Pelicans1:2 SO
  • 22.11.2025Pelicans — Assat2:0
  • 05.03.2025Pelicans — Assat1:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa18931552–38+1434
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAssat201012746–48-234
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKarpat20744553–52+133
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKalPa18801946–41+525
13, Relegation play-offPelicans17711840–38+224
14, Relegation play-offHameenlinna206301142–55-1324

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • HameenlinnaJukuritpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
  • KalPaKiekko-Espoopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
  • KooKooJYPpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.9
  • SaiPaIlvespreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • TapparaIFK Helsinkipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • TPS TurkuJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →