NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
New York Rangers — Carolina Hurricanes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: New York Rangers — No. 15, 17 pts; Carolina Hurricanes — No. 1, 26 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: New York Rangers 1 win, Carolina Hurricanes 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Rangers — Carolina Hurricanes | 2.5–2.9 | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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Form
- 04.11St. Louis Blues3:1
- 02.11Edmonton Oilers1:4
- 27.10Los Angeles Kings3:6
- 25.10away · Ottawa Senators4:7
- 23.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5
- 04.11away · Nashville Predators1:4
- 01.11Winnipeg Jets7:0
- 30.10Columbus Blue Jackets3:2
- 28.10Boston Bruins2:1
- 25.10away · St. Louis Blues4:0
Head to head
- 06.02.2026New York Rangers — Carolina Hurricanes0:2
- 30.12.2025Carolina Hurricanes — New York Rangers3:2 OT
- 27.11.2025Carolina Hurricanes — New York Rangers2:4
- 05.11.2025New York Rangers — Carolina Hurricanes0:3
- 12.04.2025Carolina Hurricanes — New York Rangers7:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 17 | 12 | +24 | 26 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 16 | 11 | +19 | 25 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 16 | 8 | +1 | 17 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 14 | 8 | 0 | 17 |
NHL on the same day
- Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Nashville PredatorsPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Boston BruinsWashington Capitalspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Detroit Red WingsNew York Islanderspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Montreal CanadiensPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Ottawa SenatorsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesNew Jersey Devilspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →