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NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

San Jose Sharks — Seattle Kraken

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Model prediction for 22 November

San Jose Sharks38%
Draw in regulation23%
Seattle Kraken39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: San Jose Sharks 49%, Seattle Kraken 51% including overtime.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.

Facts

  • League table: San Jose Sharks — No. 24, 15 pts; Seattle Kraken — No. 16, 17 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Jose Sharks 1 win, Seattle Kraken 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Seattle Kraken2.9–2.9
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • San Jose Sharks goals
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Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 03.11Calgary Flames1:2
  • 31.10Ottawa Senators1:5
  • 30.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 28.10Buffalo Sabres0:2
  • 25.10away · Boston Bruins4:6

Seattle Kraken

  • 31.10away · Calgary Flames2:6
  • 29.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
  • 25.10Minnesota Wild1:5
  • 23.10Utah Mammoth5:3
  • 21.10Detroit Red Wings4:3 SO

Head to head

  • 21.12.2025San Jose Sharks — Seattle Kraken2:4
  • 16.11.2025Seattle Kraken — San Jose Sharks4:1
  • 06.11.2025Seattle Kraken — San Jose Sharks1:6
  • 06.04.2025San Jose Sharks — Seattle Kraken1:5
  • 31.01.2025Seattle Kraken — San Jose Sharks6:2

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers1681748–47+117
16, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken1481552–52017
17Detroit Red Wings1673648–50-217
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →