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NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild

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Model prediction for 22 November

Vancouver Canucks22%
Draw in regulation21%
Minnesota Wild57%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Wild are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Vancouver Canucks — No. 32, 7 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 3, 25 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
  • Vancouver Canucks: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vancouver Canucks 1 win, Minnesota Wild 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild2.3–3.5
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Vancouver Canucks

  • 04.11Anaheim Ducks4:5
  • 01.11Toronto Maple Leafs2:4
  • 30.10away · San Jose Sharks2:3
  • 28.10away · Anaheim Ducks6:5 OT
  • 26.10Minnesota Wild2:4

Minnesota Wild

  • 04.11away · Philadelphia Flyers4:2
  • 01.11away · Washington Capitals5:1
  • 30.10New York Islanders3:4 OT
  • 28.10away · Utah Mammoth3:1
  • 26.10away · Vancouver Canucks4:2

Head to head

  • 26.10.2026Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild2:4
  • 03.04.2026Minnesota Wild — Vancouver Canucks5:2
  • 07.12.2025Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild4:2
  • 02.11.2025Minnesota Wild — Vancouver Canucks5:2
  • 13.04.2025Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild2:3 OT

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers16113267–48+1925
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins16111458–38+2023
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259
32Vancouver Canucks17311351–77-267

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →