NHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Vegas Golden Knights — Dallas Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Vegas Golden Knights 52%, Dallas Stars 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Vegas Golden Knights — No. 5, 22 pts; Dallas Stars — No. 11, 19 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Vegas Golden Knights 1 win, Dallas Stars 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Dallas Stars | 2.5–2.3 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 03.11away · Boston Bruins2:3 SO
- 31.10New Jersey Devils2:5
- 28.10Ottawa Senators4:1
- 25.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 OT
- 04.11away · Washington Capitals6:5
- 01.11Columbus Blue Jackets3:1
- 30.10Montreal Canadiens2:5
- 28.10New Jersey Devils1:5
- 26.10New York Islanders6:3
Head to head
- 23.03.2026Dallas Stars — Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 11.03.2026Dallas Stars — Vegas Golden Knights2:1
- 30.01.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Dallas Stars4:5 SO
- 29.01.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Dallas Stars3:4 OT
- 25.01.2025Dallas Stars — Vegas Golden Knights4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Colorado Avalanche | 16 | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesMontreal Canadienspreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Ottawa SenatorsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Toronto Maple LeafsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Washington CapitalsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Winnipeg JetsNew York Islanderspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Tampa Bay LightningEdmonton Oilerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →