EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Arena Botevgrad

Balkan — Bahcesehir Kol.

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Model prediction and result

60:101Came true
Balkan31%
Bahcesehir Kol.69%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 60:101: the model's most likely outcome, Bahcesehir Kol. to win (69% incl. overtime), came true.

Bahcesehir Kol. are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 78:84 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Balkan −7.9, Bahcesehir Kol. +0.7 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Balkan — Bahcesehir Kol.78.3–84.4
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Balkan points
  • Bahcesehir Kol. points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Balkan

  • 30.09away · Ulm84:98

Bahcesehir Kol.

  • 30.09BC Roma91:78
  • 03.04Besiktas72:82
  • 31.03away · Besiktas72:91
  • 17.03Cluj-Napoca75:72
  • 11.02away · Neptunas91:86

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
3, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
4, PlayoffsUlm211.5001.5
5BC Roma211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan202.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • Bahcesehir Kol.Manresa13 October · EuroCup
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 100:88. Model's score: —.169.3
  • BC RomaBalkan13 October · EuroCup · live
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.1

EuroCup on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 98:92. Model's score: —.173.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 93:80. Model's score: —.164.0
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 93:84. Model's score: —.165.3
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 89:83. Model's score: —.166.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 92:87. Model's score: —.162.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 101:89. Model's score: —.177.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →