EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Cittadella dello Sport
Tortona — Le Mans
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
89:83Came true
In short
Final score 89:83: the model's most likely outcome, Tortona to win (65% incl. overtime), came true.
Tortona are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:81 — 166 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Tortona −5.9, Le Mans −8.4 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Tortona — Le Mans | 85.5–80.5 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Tortona points
- Le Mans points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group A
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Hapoel Jerusalem | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Aris | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Rostock | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs | Rigas Zelli | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 5 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 6 | Tortona | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 7 | Cedevita Olimpija | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
Next matches
- ArisTortona14 October · EuroCup64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.0
- Le MansRostock14 October · EuroCup54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.2
EuroCup on the same day
- 31692The most likely outcome came true: 260:101Final score 60:101. Model's score: —.162.6
- 39612The most likely outcome did not happen: 298:92Final score 98:92. Model's score: —.173.5
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 193:80Final score 93:80. Model's score: —.164.0
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 193:84Final score 93:84. Model's score: —.165.3
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 192:87Final score 92:87. Model's score: —.162.1
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 1101:89Final score 101:89. Model's score: —.177.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →