EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Besiktas — Bayern

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Model prediction for 16 October

Besiktas67%
Bayern33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Besiktas are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 91:86 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Besiktas −3.3, Bayern −5.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Besiktas — Bayern91.2–86.0
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Besiktas points
  • Bayern points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Besiktas

  • 09.10away · Baskonia92:84
  • 02.10Barcelona82:95
  • 30.09away · Maccabi Tel Aviv109:93
  • 25.09Valencia94:96
  • 28.04away · JL Bourg71:73

Bayern

  • 08.10Virtus Bologna87:94
  • 02.10Partizan Mozzart Bet84:86
  • 29.09away · Fenerbahce76:100
  • 24.09away · Hapoel Tel Aviv86:84
  • 17.04away · Barcelona69:95

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
12Barcelona422.5002
13Besiktas422.5002
14Anadolu Efes413.2503
17Paris413.2503
18Bayern413.2503
19Real Madrid413.2503

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →