EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Virtus Bologna — Baskonia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Virtus Bologna are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 93:87 — 180 points in total.
Over 179.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Virtus Bologna −3.4, Baskonia −6.4 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Virtus Bologna — Baskonia | 93.2–86.7 | |
| Total over 179.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 179.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Virtus Bologna points
- Baskonia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 08.10away · Bayern94:87
- 01.10Olympiacos96:94
- 29.09away · Olimpia Milano85:87
- 25.09away · Fenerbahce68:78
- 16.04away · Maccabi Tel Aviv89:85
- 11.10Joventut Badalona93:73
- 09.10Besiktas84:92
- 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
- 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76
- 29.09away · Valencia88:111
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Virtus Bologna — Baskonia72:82
- 06.11.2025Baskonia — Virtus Bologna87:76
- 10.01.2025Virtus Bologna — Baskonia76:74
- 12.12.2024Baskonia — Virtus Bologna81:82
- 19.04.2024Baskonia — Virtus Bologna89:77
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Virtus Bologna | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dubai | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2 |
| 15 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 16 | Baskonia | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 17 | Paris | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.2
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.5
- 75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —173.9
- 78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —173.1
- 37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —175.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →