EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Frankfurt — Tenerife

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Model prediction for 21 October

Frankfurt47%
Tenerife53%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Frankfurt 47%, Tenerife 53%.

The model expects a score around 83:84 — 168 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Frankfurt −8.4, Tenerife −5.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Frankfurt — Tenerife83.3–84.3
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Frankfurt points
  • Tenerife points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Frankfurt

  • 06.10Siauliai79:71
  • 29.09away · Venezia72:104

Tenerife

  • 11.10away · Murcia90:77
  • 06.10away · London Lions77:89
  • 03.10away · Unicaja80:75
  • 30.09Turk Telekom82:75
  • 27.09Basket Zaragoza80:81

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group B

Table «Group B», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsVenezia211.500—
2, PlayoffsMaxima Roma211.500—
3, PlayoffsLondon Lions211.500—
4, PlayoffsTurk Telekom211.500—
5Tenerife211.500—
6Siauliai211.500—
7Frankfurt211.500—
8Cluj-Napoca211.500—

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.1
  • PAOKUlmpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.5
  • JL BourgTrentopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —158.2
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —157.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →