EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Tortona — San Pablo Burgos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tortona are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 87:84 — 171 point in total.
Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Tortona −5.8, San Pablo Burgos −6.0 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Tortona — San Pablo Burgos | 87.1–84.4 | |
| Total over 170.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 170.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Tortona points
- San Pablo Burgos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10away · Bilbao87:96
- 07.10away · Aris80:93
- 04.10away · Forca Lleida94:81
- 30.09Cedevita Olimpija85:81
- 27.09Baskonia97:98
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group A
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Hapoel Jerusalem | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Aris | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Rostock | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs | Rigas Zelli | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 5 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 6 | Tortona | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 7 | Cedevita Olimpija | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
EuroCup on the same day
- Cluj-NapocaLondon Lionspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.3
- Cedevita OlimpijaLe Manspreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.7
- ChemnitzSlask Wroclawpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.1
- PAOKUlmpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.7
- FrankfurtTenerifepreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.6
- JL BourgTrentopreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —158.2
- KK BosnaBahcesehir Kol.preliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —157.2
- Basket NapoliTofaspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →