EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

JL Bourg — Trento

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Model prediction for 21 October

JL Bourg74%
Trento26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

JL Bourg are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:75 — 158 points in total.

Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: JL Bourg +0.2, Trento −5.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): JL Bourg — Trento83.1–75.1
Total over 157.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 157.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • JL Bourg points
  • Trento points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

JL Bourg

  • 13.10away · Neptunas89:93
  • 06.10Tofas82:89
  • 30.09away · Basket Napoli76:84
  • 28.04Besiktas73:71
  • 22.04away · Besiktas72:60

Trento

  • 06.10Slask Wroclaw81:94
  • 29.09away · Neptunas76:73
  • 18.03away · Besiktas76:77
  • 11.03away · Venezia94:90
  • 10.02Ulm76:68

Head to head

  • 09.12.2025JL Bourg — Trento73:91
  • 01.10.2025Trento — JL Bourg48:79
  • 13.12.2023JL Bourg — Trento79:67
  • 10.10.2023Trento — JL Bourg72:79

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Group C

Table «Group C», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBasket Napoli2201.000—
2, PlayoffsTofas2201.000—
3, PlayoffsBuducnost211.5001
4, PlayoffsChemnitz211.5001
5Slask Wroclaw211.5001
6Trento211.5001
7Neptunas312.3331.5
8JL Bourg303.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.1
  • PAOKUlmpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —157.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →