EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

PAOK — Ulm

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Model prediction for 21 October

PAOK67%
Ulm33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

PAOK are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:85 — 175 points in total.

Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: PAOK −4.4, Ulm −7.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): PAOK — Ulm90.1–84.6
Total over 174.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 174.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • PAOK points
  • Ulm points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

PAOK

  • 13.10away · Lietkabelis86:95
  • 06.10away · KK Bosna75:72
  • 30.09Manresa93:78

Ulm

  • 07.10away · Manresa89:101
  • 30.09Balkan98:84
  • 10.02away · Trento68:76
  • 03.02Buducnost90:103
  • 28.01away · JL Bourg66:97

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
3, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
4, PlayoffsUlm211.5001.5
5BC Roma211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan202.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →