SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Brynas — Djurgarden

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Model prediction for 15 October

Brynas58%
Draw in regulation20%
Djurgarden22%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Brynas are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Brynas are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brynas — Djurgarden3.2–2.1
Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout)71%
Djurgarden to win (incl. OT and shootout)29%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brynas
  • Brynas goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brynas

  • 10.10away · HV 712:3
  • 08.10IF Bjorkloven4:1
  • 03.10away · Malmo0:1
  • 01.10away · Frolunda1:2
  • 29.09Timra1:0

Djurgarden

  • 10.10Linkoping5:1
  • 08.10Orebro2:1
  • 03.10away · Frolunda2:4
  • 01.10Farjestad0:4
  • 26.09away · Timra2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 19.02.2026Brynas — Djurgarden5:2
  • 22.01.2026Brynas — Djurgarden3:2 OT
  • 01.11.2025Djurgarden — Brynas4:2
  • 18.10.2025Djurgarden — Brynas3:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea8411228–21+715
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle8310420–18+211
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVaxjo8211425–30-59
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69
12HV 718121424–29-58

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →