SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Malmo — Orebro
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Malmo are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- Malmo are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Malmo — Orebro | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Malmo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Malmo
- Malmo goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Farjestad2:6
- 08.10away · Lulea3:2
- 03.10Brynas1:0
- 01.10away · Skelleftea3:4 OT
- 26.09Frolunda1:2
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Malmo — Orebro1:4
- 10.01.2026Orebro — Malmo4:2
- 15.11.2025Orebro — Malmo0:5
- 02.10.2025Malmo — Orebro3:2
- 08.03.2025Orebro — Malmo2:4
Table
SHL on the same day
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.2
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →