Premium
EN
Sections

SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Farjestad — Lulea

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 15 October

Farjestad56%
Draw in regulation20%
Lulea24%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Farjestad are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Farjestad are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Farjestad — Lulea3.0–2.0
Farjestad to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Lulea to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Farjestad
  • Farjestad goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Farjestad

  • 10.10Malmo6:2
  • 08.10away · Skelleftea5:1
  • 03.10HV 713:1
  • 01.10away · Djurgarden4:0
  • 26.09away · IF Bjorkloven5:0

Lulea

  • 10.10Timra2:3 OT
  • 08.10Malmo2:3
  • 03.10away · Orebro4:1
  • 01.10away · Linkoping2:0
  • 29.09away · Skelleftea1:6

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026Lulea — Farjestad1:3
  • 22.01.2026Farjestad — Lulea3:2 SO
  • 06.12.2025Lulea — Farjestad2:5
  • 16.10.2025Farjestad — Lulea3:6
  • 04.03.2025Farjestad — Lulea1:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad8701034–8+2622
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMalmo7212218–22-410
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVaxjo8211425–30-59

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasDjurgarden
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.2
  • IF BjorklovenRogle
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • LinkopingFrolunda
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
  • MalmoOrebro
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • TimraHV 71
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • VaxjoSkelleftea
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →