AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Laval Rocket — Syracuse Crunch

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Model prediction for 22 October

Laval Rocket40%
Draw in regulation22%
Syracuse Crunch38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Laval Rocket 51%, Syracuse Crunch 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Laval Rocket — Syracuse Crunch2.6–2.6
Laval Rocket to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Laval Rocket goals
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Form

Laval Rocket

  • 11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack5:2
  • 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds5:2
  • 03.10Syracuse Crunch6:1
  • 03.10Syracuse Crunch0:2
  • 09.05Toronto Marlies2:3

Syracuse Crunch

  • 11.10Belleville Senators2:3
  • 10.10away · Rochester Americans1:7
  • 03.10away · Laval Rocket1:6
  • 03.10away · Laval Rocket2:0
  • 03.05Cleveland Monsters1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 03.10.2026Laval Rocket — Syracuse Crunch6:1
  • 03.10.2026Laval Rocket — Syracuse Crunch0:2
  • 15.03.2026Syracuse Crunch — Laval Rocket3:4 SO
  • 05.03.2026Laval Rocket — Syracuse Crunch0:2
  • 01.03.2026Syracuse Crunch — Laval Rocket6:4

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
3Manitoba Moose430118–6+126.750
4Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750
5Calgary Wranglers430114–10+46.750
28San Jose Barracuda410311–20-92.250
29Syracuse Crunch41036–16-102.250
30Providence Bruins51049–14-52.200

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →