Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Liberec — Mountfield HK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Liberec are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Liberec — Mountfield HK | 2.6–2.1 | |
| Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Liberec
- Liberec goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Ceske Budejovice3:4
- 09.10Karlovy Vary5:0
- 04.10away · Mlada Boleslav5:3
- 02.10Olomouc2:0
- 29.09away · Litvinov4:5 SO
- 11.10Olomouc3:1
- 09.10away · Trinec2:5
- 04.10Vitkovice3:2 OT
- 02.10away · Kladno4:3 SO
- 29.09Sparta Prague4:3
Head to head
- 24.09.2026Mountfield HK — Liberec5:2
- 04.03.2026Liberec — Mountfield HK4:0
- 04.01.2026Mountfield HK — Liberec0:2
- 23.11.2025Liberec — Mountfield HK3:2
- 05.10.2025Mountfield HK — Liberec4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ceske Budejovice | 10 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- PardubiceMlada Boleslavpreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:15.0
- Sparta PragueLitvinovpreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
- PlzenKladnopreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Ceske BudejoviceKarlovy Varypreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Kometa BrnoOlomoucpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:15.0
- VitkoviceTrinecpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →