Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 7:1: the model's most likely outcome, Omskie Krylia to win (70% incl. overtime), came true.
Omskie Krylia are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov | 3.1–2.0 | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Omskie Krylia
- Omskie Krylia goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 07.10Dyn. Altay5:4 SO
- 05.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 03.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
- 01.10HC Norilsk2:3 SO
- 27.09away · Kaluga3:2
Head to head
- 13.12.2025Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov2:1
- 30.11.2025Kristall Saratov — Omskie Krylia2:1
- 24.01.2025Kristall Saratov — Omskie Krylia2:4
- 26.10.2024Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov5:1
- 09.01.2024Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
Next matches
- KurganKristall Saratov15 October · VHL64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- OlympiaOmskie Krylia18 October · VHL36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
VHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:1.4.4
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.4.4
- 80201The most likely outcome came true: 118%3:2SOFinal score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.1
- 79211The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.1
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →