VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov

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Model prediction and result

7:1Came true
Omskie Krylia57%
Draw in regulation20%
Kristall Saratov23%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 7:1: the model's most likely outcome, Omskie Krylia to win (70% incl. overtime), came true.

Omskie Krylia are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov3.1–2.0
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Omskie Krylia
  • Omskie Krylia goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Omskie Krylia

  • 11.10Dizel3:2
  • 09.10Tambov5:1
  • 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3
  • 01.10HC Yugra1:0

Kristall Saratov

  • 07.10Dyn. Altay5:4 SO
  • 05.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 03.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
  • 01.10HC Norilsk2:3 SO
  • 27.09away · Kaluga3:2

Head to head

  • 13.12.2025Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov2:1
  • 30.11.2025Kristall Saratov — Omskie Krylia2:1
  • 24.01.2025Kristall Saratov — Omskie Krylia2:4
  • 26.10.2024Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov5:1
  • 09.01.2024Omskie Krylia — Kristall Saratov3:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
4, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
14, PlayoffsBars1471635–44-915
15, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1271431–41-1015
16, PlayoffsMagnitka Magnitogorsk1154224–20+414

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • KurganKristall Saratov15 October · VHL
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • OlympiaOmskie Krylia18 October · VHL
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5

VHL on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:1.4.4
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.4.4
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 118%Final score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.1
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%Final score 0:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →