Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Berrettini M. — Nakashima B.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Berrettini M.40%
Nakashima B.60%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Nakashima B. to win (60%), came true.

Nakashima B. are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Berrettini M. 1691, Nakashima B. 1691.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Berrettini M. games
  • Nakashima B. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Berrettini M.

  • 07.10Kovacevic A.2:1
  • 03.10Vallejo D.0:2
  • 01.10Davidovich Fokina A.2:1

Nakashima B.

  • 01.10Humbert U.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Bublik A.Nakashima B.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →