Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Zverev A. — Wu Y.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Zverev A.83%
Wu Y.17%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Zverev A. to win (83%), came true.

Zverev A. are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zverev A. 1891, Wu Y. 1606.

Probabilities

Games over 20.553%
Games under 20.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zverev A. games
  • Wu Y. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zverev A.

  • 04.10Djokovic N.1:2
  • 03.10Shang J.2:0
  • 01.10Norrie C.2:0

Wu Y.

  • 07.10Zheng M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zverev A.Halys Q.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →