Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Gao X. — Swiatek I.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Gao X.3%
Swiatek I.97%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Swiatek I. to win (97%), came true.

Swiatek I. are clear favourites: 97% against 3% for the opponent.

Over 17.5 games — 34%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Gao X. 1384, Swiatek I. 1962.

Probabilities

Games over 17.534%
Games under 17.566%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Gao X. games
  • Swiatek I. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Gao X.

  • 01.10Udvardy P.2:0

Swiatek I.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Vekic D.Swiatek I.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.17.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 97% will not happen in roughly 3 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →