Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Gauff C. — Osorio C.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Gauff C.87%
Osorio C.13%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Gauff C. to win (87%), came true.

Gauff C. are clear favourites: 87% against 13% for the opponent.

Over 18.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Gauff C. 1949, Osorio C. 1614.

Probabilities

Games over 18.551%
Games under 18.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Gauff C. games
  • Osorio C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Gauff C.

No past matches in the data yet.

Osorio C.

  • 01.10Tararudee L.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Gauff C.Sun X.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5
  • Osorio C.Grant T. C.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 87% will not happen in roughly 13 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →