Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Volynets K. — Mertens E.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Volynets K.24%
Mertens E.76%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Mertens E. to win (76%), came true.

Mertens E. are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Volynets K. 1509, Mertens E. 1714.

Probabilities

Games over 20.552%
Games under 20.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Volynets K. games
  • Mertens E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Volynets K.

  • 01.10Montgomery R.2:0
  • 26.09Birrell K.1:2
  • 23.09Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 21.09Kalieva E.2:0

Mertens E.

  • 25.09Chwalinska M.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Ostapenko J.Mertens E.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Kudermetova P.Volynets K.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →