Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Lys E. — Sun X.

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Model prediction and result

0:1Missed
Lys E.82%
Sun X.18%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Lys E. to win (82%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 82% fails in about 18 matches out of 100 on average.

Lys E. are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Lys E. 1608, Sun X. 1500.

Probabilities

Games over 19.552%
Games under 19.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Lys E. games
  • Sun X. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Lys E.

  • 22.09Ruse G.0:2

Sun X.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Sun X.Bucsa C.3 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →