Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Sun X. — Bucsa C.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Sun X.19%
Bucsa C.81%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Bucsa C. to win (81%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 81% fails in about 19 matches out of 100 on average.

Bucsa C. are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sun X. 1500, Bucsa C. 1598.

Probabilities

Games over 20.547%
Games under 20.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sun X. games
  • Bucsa C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sun X.

  • 01.10Lys E.1:0

Bucsa C.

  • 25.09Noskova L.0:2
  • 23.09Putintseva Y.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Gauff C.Sun X.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5
  • Yastremska D.Bucsa C.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →