Kazakhstan Premier League: matchday 23 predictions
17–18 October · 8 matches · season 2026
Kazakhstan Premier League matchday 23: 8 matches, 17–18 October. The model expects 2.6 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 6 matches, an away win in 1 and a draw in 1.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteKairat Almaty — Irtysh PavlodarKairat Almaty 82% to win; most likely score 1:0
- Closest matchZhetysu Taldykorgan — Kaisar Kyzylorda36% v 33%, draw 30%
- Most goals expectedFC Astana — Kaspiy Aktau3.2 goals on average; over 2.5: 62%
- Possible upsetTobol Kostanay — ZhenisZhenis 22% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
- Top-of-the-table clashAktobe — Ordabasy Shymkent4th v 1st in the table: 26% v 46%
What is at stake
Ordabasy Shymkent lead with 64 points from 27 matches; Kairat Almaty are second, 4 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Aktobe — Ordabasy Shymkent, 46% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Ordabasy Shymkent 88%, Kairat Almaty 12%.
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 363033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 2627462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
Sunday, 18 October
- 4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.0
- 6023171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- 821261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Kazakhstan Premier League: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →