Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Abia Warriors — Doma United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Abia Warriors are clear favourites: 64% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Abia Warriors are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Abia Warriors are 94 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Abia Warriors — No. 18, 10 pts; Doma United — No. 12, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Abia Warriors: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Abia Warriors 2 wins, Doma United 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abia Warriors — Doma United What is xG? | 1.7–0.7 | |
| Abia Warriors not to lose | 87% | |
| Doma United not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abia Warriors
- Abia Warriors goals
- Doma United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Shooting Stars1:4
- 25.10Niger Tornadoes0:1
- 17.10away · Kwara United1:1
- 11.10Rivers United FC0:0
- 04.10away · Enugu Rangers1:3
- 31.10Ikorodu City2:2
- 17.10Kun Khalifat1:1
- 11.10away · Nasarawa United0:2
- 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
Head to head
- 23.06.2024Doma United — Abia Warriors1:1
- 13.01.2024Abia Warriors — Doma United3:0
- 21.05.2023Abia Warriors — Doma United2:0
- 15.02.2023Doma United — Abia Warriors1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6423121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6722111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 841151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5726161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 761771The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5628171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →