Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Barau — Shooting Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Barau are clear favourites: 64% against 12% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Barau are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Barau are 126 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Barau — No. 7, 16 pts; Shooting Stars — No. 10, 15 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Barau: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Barau 0 wins, Shooting Stars 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Barau 9, Shooting Stars 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barau — Shooting Stars What is xG? | 1.6–0.6 | |
| Barau not to lose | 88% | |
| Shooting Stars not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap Barau
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- Shooting Stars goals
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Team news
Form
- 30.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 25.10Kwara United1:1
- 19.10away · Rivers United FC0:0
- 11.10Enugu Rangers2:2
- 04.10away · Bendel Insurance1:4
- 01.11Abia Warriors4:1
- 25.10away · Ikorodu City2:2
- 16.10Ranchers Bees3:1
- 11.10away · Kun Khalifat0:2
- 07.10Kano Pillars0:0
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Shooting Stars — Barau1:0
- 14.12.2025Barau — Shooting Stars0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau | 11 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6422131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 6722111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 841151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5726161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 761771The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5628171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →