Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Warri Wolves FC — Katsina United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Warri Wolves FC are clear favourites: 56% against 17% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Warri Wolves FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Warri Wolves FC are 56 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Warri Wolves FC — No. 14, 13 pts; Katsina United — No. 9, 16 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Warri Wolves FC: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Warri Wolves FC 2 wins, Katsina United 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Warri Wolves FC — Katsina United What is xG? | 1.4–0.6 | |
| Warri Wolves FC not to lose | 83% | |
| Katsina United not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Warri Wolves FC
- Warri Wolves FC goals
- Katsina United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Plateau United1:1
- 25.10Kano Pillars0:0
- 18.10away · Enyimba0:0
- 11.10Inter Lagos3:1
- 04.10away · Doma United0:1
- 01.11Sporting Lagos2:1
- 24.10Plateau United2:2
- 18.10away · Kano Pillars0:1
- 09.10Enyimba4:2
- 04.10away · Inter Lagos1:1
Head to head
- 19.01.2026Warri Wolves FC — Katsina United2:0
- 24.08.2025Katsina United — Warri Wolves FC0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6422131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 6423121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6722111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 841151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5726161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 761771The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →