Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Bendel Insurance — Niger Tornadoes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Bendel Insurance are clear favourites: 67% against 11% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bendel Insurance are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Bendel Insurance are 147 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Bendel Insurance — No. 3, 18 pts; Niger Tornadoes — No. 8, 16 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Niger Tornadoes: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Bendel Insurance 2 wins, Niger Tornadoes 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Bendel Insurance 7, Niger Tornadoes 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bendel Insurance — Niger Tornadoes What is xG? | 1.7–0.6 | |
| Bendel Insurance not to lose | 89% | |
| Niger Tornadoes not to lose | 33% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bendel Insurance
- Bendel Insurance goals
- Niger Tornadoes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Kwara United2:1
- 25.10Rivers United FC2:1
- 11.10away · Sporting Lagos1:2
- 04.10Barau4:1
- 27.09away · Abia Warriors0:3
- 30.10Barau0:0
- 25.10away · Abia Warriors1:0
- 18.10Ikorodu City2:1
- 10.10away · Ranchers Bees0:0
- 04.10Kun Khalifat1:0
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Niger Tornadoes — Bendel Insurance2:2
- 13.09.2025Bendel Insurance — Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 16.02.2025Bendel Insurance — Niger Tornadoes3:0
- 29.09.2024Niger Tornadoes — Bendel Insurance1:1
- 03.04.2024Bendel Insurance — Niger Tornadoes1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barau | 11 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6422131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 6423121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 841151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5726161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 761771The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5628171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →