Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Ikorodu City — Inter Lagos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Ikorodu City are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 25%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ikorodu City are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Ikorodu City are 221 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Ikorodu City — No. 13, 14 pts; Inter Lagos — No. 20, 6 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Inter Lagos: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ikorodu City — Inter Lagos What is xG? | 2.4–0.3 | |
| Ikorodu City not to lose | 95% | |
| Inter Lagos not to lose | 16% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 25% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 75% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ikorodu City
- Ikorodu City goals
- Inter Lagos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 31.10away · Doma United2:2
- 25.10Shooting Stars2:2
- 18.10away · Niger Tornadoes1:2
- 10.10Kwara United2:0
- 04.10away · Rivers United FC0:2
- 01.11Ranchers Bees1:1
- 25.10away · Kun Khalifat0:1
- 18.10Nasarawa United0:2
- 11.10away · Warri Wolves FC1:3
- 04.10Katsina United1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | -11 | 6 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6422131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 6423121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6722111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5726161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 761771The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5628171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →