Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Nasarawa United — Plateau United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Nasarawa United are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nasarawa United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Nasarawa United are 79 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Nasarawa United — No. 5, 17 pts; Plateau United — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Nasarawa United 2 wins, Plateau United 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nasarawa United — Plateau United What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Nasarawa United not to lose | 84% | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nasarawa United
- Nasarawa United goals
- Plateau United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Kano Pillars0:2
- 25.10Enyimba1:0
- 18.10away · Inter Lagos2:0
- 11.10Doma United2:0
- 04.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 01.11Warri Wolves FC1:1
- 24.10away · Katsina United2:2
- 18.10Sporting Lagos2:3
- 11.10Kano Pillars4:0
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Nasarawa United — Plateau United1:0
- 14.12.2025Plateau United — Nasarawa United0:0
- 13.04.2025Nasarawa United — Plateau United3:2
- 24.11.2024Plateau United — Nasarawa United2:0
- 23.04.2023Plateau United — Nasarawa United1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau | 11 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6422131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 6423121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6722111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 841151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 761771The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5628171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →