Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Enugu Rangers — Kwara United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Enugu Rangers are clear favourites: 76% against 7% for the opponent, draw 17%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 31%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Enugu Rangers are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
- Enugu Rangers are 241 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Enugu Rangers — No. 2, 18 pts; Kwara United — No. 15, 12 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Enugu Rangers: unbeaten in 4; Kwara United: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Enugu Rangers 1 win, Kwara United 0, 4 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Enugu Rangers — Kwara United What is xG? | 1.9–0.5 | |
| Enugu Rangers not to lose | 93% | |
| Kwara United not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 31% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 69% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Enugu Rangers
- Enugu Rangers goals
- Kwara United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Rivers United FC1:1
- 11.10away · Barau2:2
- 04.10Abia Warriors3:1
- 30.09away · Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Ikorodu City0:2
- 01.11Bendel Insurance1:2
- 25.10away · Barau1:1
- 17.10Abia Warriors1:1
- 10.10away · Ikorodu City0:2
- 04.10Ranchers Bees2:1
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Kwara United — Enugu Rangers0:0
- 26.10.2025Enugu Rangers — Kwara United0:0
- 15.03.2025Enugu Rangers — Kwara United3:0
- 28.10.2024Kwara United — Enugu Rangers1:1
- 10.03.2024Enugu Rangers — Kwara United0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United FC | 11 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat | 11 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6422131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 6423121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6722111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 841151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5726161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 5628171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →