Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Banfield — Atlético Tucumán
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Banfield 36%, Atlético Tucumán 33%, draw 31%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Banfield are 65 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Banfield 1 win, Atlético Tucumán 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Banfield — Atlético Tucumán What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Banfield not to lose | 67% | |
| Atlético Tucumán not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
Model vs market
The model agrees with the market: no outcome differs by more than 3 points.
- Banfield to winModel36%odds 2.78Market39%odds 2.56
- DrawModel31%odds 3.23Market30%odds 3.38
- Atlético Tucumán to winModel33%odds 3.03Market31%odds 3.19
- Total over 2.5Model41%odds 2.44Market42%odds 2.38
- Total under 2.5Model59%odds 1.69Market58%odds 1.72
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Banfield
- Banfield goals
- Atlético Tucumán goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Banfield | Atlético Tucumán |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.64 | 0.89 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 11.0 |
| On target | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 37 |
Form
- 03.11away · Independiente Rivadavia1:3
- 24.10Lanús1:1
- 17.10Argentinos Juniors0:1
- 11.10away · Tigre2:1
- 06.10Rosario Central1:1
- 03.11Argentinos Juniors1:2
- 29.10Platense1:1
- 24.10away · Tigre1:0
- 18.10Rosario Central2:3
- 10.10away · Gimnasia La Plata1:1
Head to head
- 27.04.2026Atlético Tucumán — Banfield1:1
- 21.07.2024Banfield — Atlético Tucumán1:1
- 05.03.2023Atlético Tucumán — Banfield1:0
- 06.09.2022Atlético Tucumán — Banfield0:0
- 26.09.2021Banfield — Atlético Tucumán2:0
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 383329XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 4832201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
- 3831311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6622121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →